[NL20-NL50] NL50 - Semi bluffing v weakness

    • Farmarchist
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Hi guys

      Villain is an unknown fish, no particular reads.

      On the turn I think it's close between calling (taking the odds) or decided to put the pressure on and barrel turn + river.

      I think it depends on how fishy he is. If he's not folding a T on a riverbarrel we should obv just call. In any case I think his range is weighted to Tx. I also think my move is better without FD on board :) .

      So what do u think?

      Poker Stars $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2144816
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      Hero (BTN): $59.50
      SB: $50.77
      BB: $40.22
      UTG: $121.92
      MP: $51.50
      CO: $68.32

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BTN with 9 :heart: Q :heart:
      3 folds, Hero raises to $1, 1 fold, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($2.25) 6 :spade: J :spade: T :diamond: (2 players)
      BB bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50

      Turn: ($5.25) 7 :club: (2 players)
      BB bets $2, Hero raises to $8, BB calls $6

      River: ($21.25) 2 :diamond: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $14
  • 3 replies
    • ains21
      Joined: 04.06.2011 Posts: 303
      IMO we're not making a fish fold Tx on this river very often at all. Since FD misses he can always find a call again on the 2d. I do think that sometimes he has some FD/KQ himself in this spot, since often I see fish making these small bet/calls w draws. I think therefore that if we're raising turn we can make river fairly small -- say 8-10$ -- to make his draws fold, but not own ourselves against his Tx/Jx. Personally I'm just calling turn vs. most fish.
    • Farmarchist
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Yes I have the same thinking!

      I think it would be fine on JT6r 7.
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Farma,

      Against unknown fish I generally tend to avoid bluffs or weak semibluffs especially on boards like this where TP and 2ndpair (and even third pair) will have a hard time folding.

      As played I would bet 10-11 on the river to get him to fold his better draws because I think that would be enough as we aren't getting him to fold a pair.