[NL20-NL50] [NL50] AKo

    • ains21
      ains21
      Bronze
      Joined: 04.06.2011 Posts: 303
      Hello.

      Villain is 20/17/9.6 (2.8k hands) losing reg at NL50/100. We haven't had too much history with each other, but he has made a lot of c/r in single raised pots etc and is generally capable of making moves.

      Fold to 3b: 48
      Fold to 3b vs. hero: 25
      Raise flop single bet pot: 27
      Raise flop 3b pot: 43 (7) [sample size issue]
      Fold to c-bet in 3b pot: 29

      What do you think about his range for raising this flop? Does he do it a bluff ever?

      Value combo we beat: AJs/KJs (4) or if AJo also (8)
      Value combo we lose: JJ/QTs (7)

      Bluff combo: Some PP he set mine turned into bluff? QJs or something? We don't need many combo but to me it looks like poor flop for bluffing.

      What do you do on flop? Shove here or call and ch/shove turn? Does anyone ever fold?

      Party, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $34.02 (68 bb)
      CO: $223.67 (447.3 bb)
      BB: $15.59 (31.2 bb)
      Hero (SB): $51.50 (103 bb)
      UTG: $50 (100 bb)
      MP: $47.90 (95.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with A K
      2 folds, CO raises to $1.26, BTN folds, Hero raises to $4.04, BB folds, CO calls $2.78

      Flop: ($8.58) A J K (2 players)
      Hero bets $4.08, CO raises to $15.30, Hero ???
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Ains,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: What's our image like? We know villain doesn't like folding, especially versus us. If we are aggro and cbet a lot he should expect us to bet a lot of our range on this flop. After all our perceived range is strong so I can see aggro regs trying to bluff raise here.

      Since we have top 2 I'm not even debating a fold. I'm going with my hand and it's only a question of how. Do we call or just ship? If we call how does our hand look like? Can we get him to bluff again? For that I'd look at the other info we have on him and mainly turn play. Can he expect us to call Ax one street and then fold? If so I'd call and let him barrel it off. If we have no info about turn I'd just shove here.