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[NL2-NL10] AJo, valuebet river ?

    • staselu
      staselu
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2008 Posts: 532
      IPoker, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      UTG: $10.68 (106.8 bb)
      Hero (MP): $10 (100 bb)
      CO: $4.73 (47.3 bb)
      BTN: $10.04 (100.4 bb)
      SB: $10.02 (100.2 bb)
      BB: $15.57 (155.7 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with A:club: J:heart:
      UTG calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.45, 2 folds, SB calls $0.40, BB folds, UTG calls $0.35

      Flop: ($1.45) 2:diamond: 8:spade: A:diamond: (3 players)
      SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $1.08, SB calls $1.08, UTG folds

      Turn: ($3.61) J:diamond: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $2.70, SB calls $2.70

      River: ($9.01) 5:club: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $5.77 and is all-in, SB calls $5.77


      stats:
      35/16 vpip/pfr
      cold call 30%
      wts 28
      total agg% 23
      hands 1.4k

      to profitable valuebet we need to have more than 50 % equity ?
      In this spot we have close to 60%
  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Staselu,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: I think you played the hand fine despite the flush coming down on the turn.

      The only thing I might change is bet slightly smaller on the turn.

      His range has so many Ax and even worse 2p that we can still vbet the river.
    • staselu
      staselu
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2008 Posts: 532
      when we decide to value bet, we must must estimate our equity against the villain range, and if it is > 50% then we can value bet ? Correct ?
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by staselu
      when we decide to value bet, we must must estimate our equity against the villain range, and if it is > 50% then we can value bet ? Correct ?
      Yes, exactly.

      Best way to estimate that is by counting combos of hands.

      Exercises in equilab helps with that.