[NL20-NL50] NL50 K9s 3way pot tp vs db

    • double2
      double2
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $78.69 (157.4 bb)
      BB: $107.18 (214.4 bb)
      MP: $24.05 (48.1 bb)
      CO: $31.53 (63.1 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $68.63 (137.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with K 9
      MP folds, CO calls $0.50, Hero raises to $1.75, SB calls $1.50, BB folds, CO calls $1.25

      Flop: ($5.75) 8 4 9 (3 players)
      SB bets $3.18

      CO 66 hands
      65/15

      SB 5.2k hands
      28/23/5.5%
      call open SB 9%
      db flop 8%
      WTSD 29%
      WWSF 45%
      Agg freq 43/26/20

      Is it too weak to fold right here? I expect him to have at least FD (which I'm pretty much flipping), sometimes sets, T9...
  • 3 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Hi,

      His range for leading here should be reasonably strong and will probably tarhet the fish in CO. Knowing this, he will indeed have good equity but your TP with position is definitely good enough to call imo. You can play well when draws get there. I would definitely fold a hand like T8s for example but K9s should be OK against his whole value range because it's targetted towards COs tendency to call too much imo.
    • double2
      double2
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      How can I "play well when draws get there"? Turn my hand into bluff once he checks?
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Originally posted by double2
      How can I "play well when draws get there"? Turn my hand into bluff once he checks?
      You can do that or fold when he still shows aggression. When IP, you always get fed information. If you can have a draw as well, he is less likely to bluff so a bet from him shows more strength than usual imo.

      Regarding turning your hand into a bluff, you have to pay attention if it's worth it.. You have good showdown value too. Turning made hands into a bluff is a great skill to have, few people do it. This is a spot where you can do that but you have to be aware of other's possible reactions. This is where the 'feel'part of the game comes in. With experience you have this as a second nature but now you actually need to run calcsand see how much he might fold, how much you need him to fold AND (most important probably and also complicated) how your range looks there.