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[NL2-NL10] nl20 speed AJ

    • lodinn
      Joined: 04.10.2010 Posts: 1,276
      fi 24/19/4.5. VS hero 3bet call 40%, 4bet 60% over total of 10 hero 3bets.

      steal 23% CO(22). WTSD 25, AF 2.7. fold CB 0%(4).call CB 75%(4).

      so i 3b with intention of calling shove vs this player.

      not sure why preflop 3b was so small, I use smaller sizings vs other MSS-players but not vs fullstacks in general. So, this guy doesn't seem to give me credit very much. Although many Qx broadways hits this (i discount AQ, expect him to jam PF with it)

      I don't expect too many folds if I c-bet, and he will probably bet here most often when i check. is it too spewy to take this line? Been experimenting with c/pushes as PFR some as stacksizes are pretty good for it.

      havnt done calcs, but based on 0% equity on flop he's got to fold somewhere around 60%, but obv. got some live outs if A hits often, sometimes J, and good equity if he calls me with his flushdraws.

      IPoker, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $20 (100 bb)
      UTG: $20.52 (102.6 bb)
      MP: $20 (100 bb)
      CO: $33.81 (169.1 bb)
      BTN: $10.95 (54.7 bb)
      Hero (SB): $8.63 (43.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with A J
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.60, BTN folds, Hero raises to $1.60, BB folds, CO calls $1

      Flop: ($3.40) Q 8 3 (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $2, Hero raises to $7.03 and is all-in, CO folds

      $7.40 pot ($0.37 rake)
      Final Board: Q 8 3
      CO mucked and lost (-$3.60 net)
      Hero mucked A J and won $7.03 ($3.43 net)
  • 1 reply
    • kymupa
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364

      Preflop 3betting here is definitely fine. About the sizing, against a player that is likely to call a lot, I'd probably go for 3x here.

      I think I like your move on the flop. Since we do expect him to bet almost always if we check, I think our line is good here since we are likely to have a lot of fold equity here against hands like AT, JT or so, and he could probably hero fold something like 77 here and even if we get called we still have the ace as an out most of the times, J as well, plus a couple of backdoors too.

      Nice hand.