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[NL20-NL50] [NL50] KK 4b pot 200bb deep

    • ains21
      Joined: 04.06.2011 Posts: 303

      Villain is 24/20/6.9 reg (1.1k hands) who I've been 3b/4bing with a ton this session. His stats are:

      3b BU vs. CO: 12% (26)
      3b BU vs. CO (vs. Hero): 33% (6)
      Fold to 4b: 0 [sample size, but clearly doesn't like folding and has 43% Ft3b]

      Raise flop single bet pot: 24%
      Raise flop 3b pot: 0 [sample size]
      Flop agg%: 47%
      Overall agg: 42%

      So std 4b and maybe I could make it bigger since deep? I just think he never folds so maybe I should be charging more in this situation. On the flop I go for std c-bet and he makes this HUGE raise on me. Now, I expect him to bluff often in this kind of spot but for this sizing? Why would he ever risk $50 here when $25 would be std?

      I think we discount most AA combo since no 5b, but guys start to take lines like this when deeper. QQ/JJ possibility and also 75s actually since he never folds. What do you do in this spot vs. such a large bet?

      Thank you coaches!

      Party, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP: $81.97 (163.9 bb)
      SB: $77.32 (154.6 bb)
      UTG: $17.50 (35 bb)
      BB: $72.12 (144.2 bb)
      BTN: $170.17 (340.3 bb)
      Hero (CO): $96.88 (193.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with K K
      2 folds, Hero raises to $1.29, BTN raises to $4.16, 2 folds, Hero raises to $10.50, BTN calls $6.34

      Flop: ($21.75) J 7 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $10, BTN raises to $50.67, Hero ???
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      Preflop, only thing I can add is that sizing can be a bit bigger on your side, like you mentioned with these stacks and the unlikelihood he folds.

      Postflop though I prefer checking here. Betting should still be +EV but against him you will not have a huge amount of hands to cbet and barrel imo plus KK will become heavily under-reped so you get value from his thin vbets as well.

      As played, it's just a fold imo. I don't think he always 5bets AA. If he 5bets, he looks like AA very often imo and a reg can definitely be aware of that and simply not do it with AA. These huge bets are usually attempts to look like spazzes from my experience but regs always have a value hand.