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[NL2-NL10] NL10 - FR - 55 - set on drawheavy board

    • EliasVeritas
      Joined: 29.05.2008 Posts: 10,752
      Known players:

      0,05/0,1 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.58 by

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 5:spade: , 5:heart:
      3 folds, MP2 raises to $0,35, Hero calls $0,35, 4 folds.

      Flop: ($0,85) 6:club: , 7:club: , 5:diamond: (2 players)
      MP2 bets $0,85, Hero raises to $2,40, MP2 calls $1,55.

      Turn: ($5,65) K:club: (2 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero bets $3,00, MP2 raises to $6,00, Hero raises to $7,10 (All-In), MP2 calls $1,10.

      River: ($19,85) 4:heart:

      Final Pot: $19,85
  • 3 replies
    • Zenith88
      Joined: 12.07.2008 Posts: 65
      I would have checked behind on the turn or fold to that reraise. Basically there's no hand that can check raise the turn that you can beat, unless the villain is a total fish and had something like AK.

      Edit: I actually wanted to say i would have checked behind on the turn, not the flop, obviously.
    • Faye6891
      Joined: 09.11.2007 Posts: 1,234
      I'd raise more on the flop. (~$2.90)

      Turn I'd check behind, that K is not only scary for you, but if your opponent wasn't on a flush draw, it is also scary for him, so IMO you'll only get called by better hands here (at least most of the time).

      After checking behind on the turn, I'd call any reasonable bet on the river, or bet myself if checked to.

      As played, on the turn, after being check/raised, you have the odds to call for a full house so you can't fold there, but since you're gonna be pot committed on the river if you just call, pushing is OK IMO.
    • swissmoumout
      Joined: 23.02.2007 Posts: 3,385
      Hi EliasVeritas,
      Raise a little more on the flop for protection - about 3x villain's raise + half pot, or about $2.9 here. On the turn, again bet more for protection, ~3/4 pot (4.1$, give or take). I'd also call his shove because imo he will go broke with A :club: A, Q :club: Qx, and maybe also J :club: Jx. He might also shove AK, particularly with the ace of clubs, and of course sets, if he slowplays them on the flop.
      So, let's check our equity: (considering a pretty tight range of sets, overpairs w/ clubs, and AcKx)

      Board: 6c 7c 5d Kc
      	equity 	win 	tie 	      pots won 	pots tied	
      Hand 0: 	45.779%  	45.78% 	00.00% 	           423 	        0.00   { 5h5s }
      Hand 1: 	54.221%  	54.22% 	00.00% 	           501 	        0.00   { AcAd, AcAh, AcAs, KK, QcQd, QcQh, QcQs, JcJd, JcJh, JcJs, 77-66, AcKd, AcKh, AcKs }

      So as you see, we have 46% equity here, so have a clearly profitable call with these pot odds.