[NL20-NL50] SH NL50 zoom 88 bottom set on cordinated board

    • dooleslovs
      dooleslovs
      Platinum
      Joined: 17.02.2011 Posts: 481
      PokerStars - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: $48.45 (VPIP: 21.43, PFR: 3.57, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 28)
      Hero (SB): $50.00
      BB: $76.12 (VPIP: 23.01, PFR: 20.09, 3Bet Preflop: 7.62, Hands: 1,305)
      UTG: $53.44 (VPIP: 25.53, PFR: 21.28, 3Bet Preflop: 5.33, Hands: 244)
      MP: $66.49 (VPIP: 22.82, PFR: 18.12, 3Bet Preflop: 8.47, Hands: 151)
      CO: $59.59 (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)

      Hero posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has 8:heart: 8:diamond:

      UTG raises to $2.00, fold, CO calls $2.00, fold, Hero calls $1.75, fold

      Flop: ($6.50, 3 players) T:diamond: 9:spade: 8:club:
      Hero checks, UTG bets $4.50, fold, Hero calls $4.50

      Turn: ($15.50, 2 players) Q:club:
      Hero checks, UTG bets $6.50, Hero calls $6.50

      River: ($28.50, 2 players) K:diamond:
      Hero checks, UTG bets $4.50 , [b]Hero[/b?

      Vilain reg, oR 21% from UTG cbets 82% flop 60% turn. Do you raise F? I am not doing very well vs his broke range, which is IMO:
      Board: T:diamond: 9:spade: 8:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    32.16%  30.95%   1.21% { 8d8h }
      MP3    67.84%  66.63%   1.21% { TT-99, QJs, T9s, 76s, QJo }


      But he could call with a lot of worse: over pairs JT, J9, J8, AJ, KJ, 98s etc, so maybee it better to raise F? If he pushes I still have some EQ, and if he call his range is kind of face up, and I can reevulate T? What do you think?
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Hey,

      If you just check/call flop, I think you have a close turn call and a river fold. He won't vbet worse almost ever and his sizing looks like Jx actually most often.

      I would prefer c/r flop for value. You can still get many calls by worse. When you actually get it in, your equity will be around 50% imo but you make most money when he folds equity, calls with worse, not when he gets it all in.