[NL20-NL50] Optimal river bet sizing with a FH

    • J10aces
      Joined: 08.11.2012 Posts: 19

      The villain appears to be a TAG but only 30 hands on him so no reads or information.

      My question is what do you think the best river size is against this player?

      Would also welcome comments on the line I took throughout the hand.

      IPoker, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $18.75 (37.5 bb)
      UTG: $46.99 (94 bb)
      Hero (MP): $91.50 (183 bb)
      CO: $38.61 (77.2 bb)
      BTN: $68.05 (136.1 bb)
      SB: $89.89 (179.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with J J
      UTG folds, Hero raises to $1.50, 2 folds, SB raises to $4.50, BB folds, Hero calls $3

      Flop: ($9.50) 4 Q Q (2 players)
      SB bets $5.50, Hero calls $5.50

      Turn: ($20.50) J (2 players)
      SB bets $12.50, Hero calls $12.50

      River: ($45.50) K (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets ???

      $45.50 pot ($2.27 rake)
      Final Board: 4 Q Q J K
      Hero mucked J J
  • 1 reply
    • w34z3l
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,295
      Hey J10aces,

      Usually villain is not super strong by the river. A lot of his range is probably one-pair stuff like AA/AK but potentially he may hold a hand like AQ. Maybe the occasional tricky KK or KQ, but for the most part he is betting the river with these.

      It would be a mistake to overbet shove here, villain would likely fold all pairs and Qx. I'd probably bet around $24 or so.