[NL20-NL50] [NL50] KK vs. turn min-raise

    • ains21
      Joined: 04.06.2011 Posts: 303

      Firstly thanks to all judges in this forum, posts so far have been really useful for me.

      Villain in this hand is aggro regfish playing 38/23/5.6 (only 200 hands though).

      Fold to c-bet: 50
      Fold to turn c-bet: 0 [sample issue]
      Raise turn c-bet: 67 (3) [sample issue]
      Agg by street: 64/67/88

      I know we are basically read-less vs this guy because of sample, but he does seem to be fairly aggressive based on the limited information that we have. Flop is std, but I was wondering about turn/river play.

      Turn raise bluff hands: FDs, T9s he wants to make into a bluff?
      Turn raise value hands: JT, Q9s (maybe?).

      I assume he raises 44,88,99 on flop IP vs. bet+call, and 3b QQ pre-flop.
      Edit: noticed that we are HU on the flop, so I think he def. has some sets in his range now, and folding turn is looking better.

      Do you think we can bet/call turn, check/call river to let him bluff missed FD and some weird bluffs? Or is min-raise always the nuts?

      Party, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP: $50.75 (101.5 bb)
      BB: $34.02 (68 bb)
      SB: $85.70 (171.4 bb)
      BTN: $110.15 (220.3 bb)
      CO: $67.08 (134.2 bb)
      Hero (UTG): $152.29 (304.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with K K
      Hero raises to $1.29, MP calls $1.29, CO calls $1.29, 3 folds

      Flop: ($4.62) 9 4 8 (3 players)
      Hero bets $3.29, MP folds, CO calls $3.29

      Turn: ($11.20) Q (2 players)
      Hero bets $7, CO raises to $14, Hero calls $7

      River: ($39.20) 5 (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $18.62, Hero calls $18.62

      $76.44 pot ($3.00 rake)
      Final Board: 9 4 8 Q 5
      CO showed J T and won $73.44 ($36.24 net)
      Hero mucked K K and lost (-$37.20 net)
  • 1 reply
    • w34z3l
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,330
      Hey Ains21,

      Preflop open is good, not 100% sure what is with the sizing, normally I'd just make it 4x here.

      Flop + Turn value bets are good.

      On turn I would fold to min-raise. Vs unknown I think you just need to stick with baluga theorem for the most part. It's true a good regular may have a bluff range in this spot, but I think it is better to assume a relative unknown is very value-heavy.