Hello.
Villain is 29/22/6.5 reg (4.3k hands) who I consider to be fairly decent/aggressive. Stats are as follows:
Fold to c-bet on flop: 52
Fold to c-bet on turn: 16
Raise c-bet on turn: 24 (22)
Turn agg%: 30
River agg%: 25
So flop is std ofc. On the turn when we get raised, he's super wide here. He could have 44/55 I guess, but many FD/TJ/KT/KJ/J8s or T9 turning into bluff.
Do you think its more profitable here to 3b and charge his FD/SD or just tank-call and check the river to him? If we 3b are we 3b/5bing AI here for 200bb (I suppose so since we expect him to 3b QQ pre, but what does he think we'd be going broke with)?
If we call turn and check river to him expecting him to bet all busted draws (there are so many), what do you re-raise to? We get called by: 44/55/QQ/AA and maybe some AQ.
Does he have AA/QQ here so few times that it is always auto raise river for us?
Thanks.
Party, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
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CO: $123.58 (247.2 bb)
SB: $57.97 (115.9 bb)
BTN: $14.50 (29 bb)
MP: $138.76 (277.5 bb)
BB: $78.61 (157.2 bb)
Hero (UTG): $98.62 (197.2 bb)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with 9

9
Hero raises to $1.29,
MP folds, CO calls $1.29,
3 folds
Flop: ($3.33) 4

9

Q
(2 players)
Hero bets $2.37, CO calls $2.37
Turn: ($8.07) 5
(2 players)
Hero bets $5.75,
CO raises to $16, Hero calls $10.25
River: ($40.07) A
(2 players)
Hero checks,
CO bets $29, Hero ???