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[NL2-NL10] NL10 6max Nut FD on mono F JAM

    • Anger86
      Joined: 17.08.2008 Posts: 511
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players

      BB: $10.00 - VPIP: 9, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 11
      UTG: $5.19 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 5, 3B: 0, AF: 2,0, Hands: 21
      Hero (CO): $10.15 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 18, 3B: 8, AF: 7,0, Hands: 1618
      BTN: $18.56 - VPIP: 45, PFR: 20, 3B: 0, AF: 0,7, Hands: 20
      SB: $10.00 - VPIP: 11, PFR: 11, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 9

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is CO with A :diamond: Q :club:
      1 fold, Hero raises to $0.30, BTN calls $0.30, 2 folds

      Flop: ($0.75) T :diamond: 6 :diamond: 9 :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.50, BTN raises to $1.30, Hero raises to $9.85, BTN calls $8.55

      Turn: ($20.45) 7 :club: (2 players)

      River: ($20.45) A :heart: (2 players)

      BU calling range is pretty wide here.
      It's very hard to play on Flop If I call a raise here.
      If I play to hit then my range is face up.
      As I have A :diamond: , then I like shove better.

      On the other hand if he has a range like this:

      Board: T:diamond: 9:diamond: 6:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    36.84%  36.52%   0.31% { AdQc }
      MP3    63.16%  62.85%   0.31% { JJ-99, 66, ATs, 87s, KdQd, KdJd, QdJd, KdTd, QdTd, JdTd, Jd9d, Td9d, Td8d, 9d8d, 9d7d, 8d6d, 7d6d, 7d5d, 6d5d, ATo }

      Then I have to fold, but I'm not sure if
      he's capable of blufraising this flop. (!)

      For me this is like semibluff. (!)
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Anger,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: First, our 3-bet is way too big of an overbet. I doubt anything better folds versus such a raise and not much worse calls.

      I would just call the flop when a fish raises me on such a board. We have some equity versus his range but we don't want to stack off on the flop.

      And you play against a fish so your hand is not always obvious and even if it is they usually can't fold their strong hands.