[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - 55: set turn

    • Lunitis
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,136
      5.6 af
      48% fold vs cbet flop
      35% fold vs cbet turn
      55% raise cbet turn (11)
      65% bet turn ip vs missed bet
      51% wwsf
      8k hands

      BB donkey

      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $41.53 (83.1 bb)
      BTN: $85.20 (170.4 bb)
      SB: $22.51 (45 bb)
      BB: $84.69 (169.4 bb)
      UTG: $17.50 (35 bb)
      Hero (MP): $52.50 (105 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with 5 5
      UTG folds, Hero raises to $1.50, CO folds, BTN calls $1.50, SB folds, BB calls $1

      Flop: ($4.75) 2 J 5 (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $3.50, BTN calls $3.50, BB folds

      Turn: ($11.75) A (2 players)
      Hero bet/call?
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      You almost never get raised by worse on the turn imo. You can still have a value bet if your opponent likes calling down, otherwise, you can strengthen your check/call range after you cbet multiway. I personally would check/fold quite a few hands that cbet flop on that turn so having a set there is quite helpful for your range.

      You don't miss MUCH value (you do miss some ofc) because Ax or better usually still bets. If you bet you can get a few extra Jx calls but not that much. It's also a turn I expect to get raised often because most of his very strong hands are flushes therefore, you can also think of it as bluffatching/drawing to a FH in a spot where you don't miss value from your opponents value hands but given a good ratio of flushes in his range, you avoid a raise that would usually have a high frequency.