[NL2-NL10] Jj 032013

    • nipbourne
      nipbourne
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.07.2009 Posts: 3,597
      $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
      8 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      UTG ($6.23) 62bb
      UTG+1 ($12.23) 122bb
      MP1 ($6.68) 67bb
      MP2 ($3.90) 39bb
      CO ($11.09) 111bb
      BTN ($4.07) 41bb
      SB ($48.28) 483bb
      Hero (BB) ($10.80) 108bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 8 players) Hero is BB J:diamond: J:heart:
      UTG raises to $0.30, 2 folds, MP2 raises to $0.90, 2 folds, SB calls $0.85, Hero raises to $3.70
      utg 11/10
      sb 34/6
      mp2
  • 3 replies
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Hello,

      Just fold here. UTG is qutie tight and MP seems to be a mid-stacker and usually his 3bet range crushes you here so I'd fold.

      Best,
      Plamen
    • nipbourne
      nipbourne
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.07.2009 Posts: 3,597
      UTG is qutie tight and MP seems to be a mid-stacker and usually his 3bet range crushes you here so I'd fold.

      he 3bet 4% on MP

             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    48.60%  47.46%   1.14% { JJ }
      MP3    51.40%  50.26%   1.14% { 99+, AQs+, AKo }

      and i think utg would only call me with KK+ ?(
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      How big is this sample we have on MP?

      I really doubt that a good midstacker is going to 3bet 99/TT/AQ against a UTG raise, unless he has some special reads.

      Also, we can really be sure that the guy on UTG is only calling KK+, since he looks interesting sitting with his 62bb so he might be calling looser.

      In addition, we have the guy on the SB, for whom we don't know anything, who could easily be trapping this wall.

      To sum up, I think that this move can be plus EV, but without much information it is likely to rather lose us money than win us.