[NL2-NL10] NL10 AKo

    • tommygecko
      tommygecko
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.08.2012 Posts: 1,229
      Pacific, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $11.01 (110.1 bb)
      BB: $14.08 (140.8 bb)
      Hero (UTG): $19.62 (196.2 bb)
      MP: $10.66 (106.6 bb)
      CO: $34.97 (349.7 bb)
      BTN: $9.91 (99.1 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with K A
      Hero raises to $0.30, MP folds, CO calls $0.30, BTN calls $0.30, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.05) A 7 5 (3 players)
      Hero bets $0.78, CO folds, BTN raises to $3, Hero raises to $5.41, BTN raises to $9.61 and is all-in, Hero calls $4.20

      Turn: ($20.27) 9 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      River: ($20.27) 8 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      Results:
      $20.27 pot ($1.01 rake)
      Final Board: A 7 5 9 8
      Hero showed K A and lost (-$9.91 net)
      CO mucked and lost (-$0.30 net)
      BTN showed 5 5 and won $19.26 ($9.35 net)


      Do we shove here? He may have Ax diamonds here too. Villain is unknown but doesn't look fishy.
  • 1 reply
    • Tomaloc
      Tomaloc
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 6,858
      hello, i commented briefly in your blog :D
      let's go into a little deeper detail:

      preflop is ok of course.
      the flop is an easy fold :f_cry: you are crushed against 2p+ and about flipping with anything else that he wants to raise/broke in this flop.

      let's give him a quite optimistic range:

      Board: A:heart: 7:diamond: 5:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    32.93%  30.95%   1.97% { AsKc }
      BU     67.07%  65.10%   1.97% { 77, 55, A7s, A5s, AdKd, AdQd, KdQd, AdJd, KdJd, QdJd, AdTd, Ad9d, Ad8d, 9d8d }

      you say he might have Ax diamonds. how well are you actually doing against Ax diamonds?

      Board: A:heart: 7:diamond: 5:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    54.55%  53.94%   0.61% { AsKc }
      BU     45.45%  44.85%   0.61% { Ad2d }


      i personally don't think he should (semi)bluffraise this flop very often because it hits well your utg range.
      in any case, if in best case scenario we are only slightly ahead and in worst case scenario pretty much drawing dead, it should be a fold.