[NL20-NL50] NL20 SH KTo in BB vs 2.5bb BTN steal

    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Gold
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,068
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
      SB ($20)
      Hero ($33.01)
      CO ($20.93)
      BTN ($20.84)

      Dealt to Hero T:heart: K:club:

      fold, BTN raises to $0.50, fold, Hero calls $0.30

      FLOP ($1.10) 6:heart: K:diamond: T:club:

      Hero checks, BTN checks

      TURN ($1.10) 6:heart: K:diamond: T:club: 8:diamond:

      Hero bets $0.70, BTN folds

      Hero shows T:heart: K:club:

      Hero wins $1.05

      18/18 steal total 60, 18h

      ones say do not believe 60% steal, but I believed, often there are tight overall stats when not much sample, but loose steal sttats. Also 2.5 bb indicates loose steal.
  • 5 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Hey,

      It's just 18 hands, don't look too much into the stats> I think vs 2.5bb KT can be a call in BB for sure. If you found people reacting worse to 3bets than to calls you can consider 3betting preflop as well.
    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Gold
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,068
      I think vs 2.5bb KT can be a call in BB for sure.


      you mean even not kwoiwing exact stats it is call right? Just because we are BB, he opens 2.5 from BTN?

      I think still if on such samlple his steal total would be 20 - we could not say that its exatct 20 of course but its more likley that he is tighter, so I would easily fold. Now I think its more likely that he steals loose so I should be more inclined to figh back.
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Nowadays, nobody opens less than 25% in BU unless an extreme case.. the average is around 40% from what I know and when you only face a 2.5bb raise from BU, KTo can be a call imo. You can also 3bet like I said before but calling is perfectly fine too, it should show a profit.
    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Gold
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,068
      I don't like 3betign becasue its offsuit and kicker is such that I will have hard time if I hit Kx. At least anohter coach teached me taht ofsuit blockers like this and KJo are bad to 3bet, unless I really expect not much calls.
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Whether a hand is good or bad to 3bet depends on your opponent's reaction not just preflop but also postflop. Furthermore, it depends on your ability to exploit bad tendencies, regardless of your hand.