[NL2-NL10] KK nl10sh FF (2)

    • confidant91
      confidant91
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 02.04.2011 Posts: 5,555
      hi,

      Party Poker $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 2151605
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      CO: $19.59 - VPIP: 30, PFR: 10, 3B: 0, AF: 1,9, Hands: 70
      BTN: $3.94 - VPIP: 52, PFR: 24, 3B: 5, AF: 2,0, Hands: 42
      SB: $20.18 - VPIP: 49, PFR: 3, 3B: 5, AF: 2,8, Hands: 61
      BB: $5.84 - VPIP: 46, PFR: 35, 3B: 20, AF: 1,8, Hands: 993
      Hero (UTG): $10.00 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 16, 3B: 9, AF: 3,6, Hands: 14458

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is UTG with K :spade: K :heart:
      Hero raises to $0.40, CO calls $0.40, BTN calls $0.40, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.35) 4 :club: Q :spade: 8 :diamond: (3 players)
      Hero bets $1.10, CO calls $1.10, BTN folds

      Turn: ($3.55) 4 :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.60, CO calls $2.60

      River: ($8.75) A :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $5.90, CO calls $5.90

      turn: Here i think i should bet bigger, his range is mostly Qx and sets so 3 dollars should be fine for easier ship on river.

      river: Not good river for us, but i thought that after his call on turn Ax only improves AQ.

      QQ,88,44,A8s,A4s,Q9s+,54s,A8o,A4o,QTo+, vs this range we have about 52% equity on river, but maybe it is optimistic that he call all his Qx hands.
  • 3 replies
    • w34z3l
      w34z3l
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,297
      Hey Confidant91,

      I think flop and turn are fine.

      I think turn sizing is fine, it's a pretty safe texture there is no need to bet any bigger imo. You can still get the stacks in with this turn sizing pretty easily.

      River is overplayed sizing-wise. Even if you are not scared of A it's a card that will make it harder to extract value. You should bet something like $2.75 max here.
    • confidant91
      confidant91
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 02.04.2011 Posts: 5,555
      Yep i was thinking about this small bet on river during the game but can we still fold river after this thin bet? I always fell commited...
    • w34z3l
      w34z3l
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,297
      Originally posted by confidant91
      Yep i was thinking about this small bet on river during the game but can we still fold river after this thin bet? I always fell commited...
      I know it would feel like an ultra sick fold given the odds you'd get, but the likelihood that villain is shoving worse is so low that it'd probably be correct to fold. Any worse hand he is flatting. Unlikely to bluff given he can't ever expect you to fold either.