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[NL20-NL50] 50NL Fast - My FD turns into 2 pair, but can we call?

    • J10aces
      Joined: 08.11.2012 Posts: 19

      Over 32 hands the villain is 32/16, although I don't think this tells us much.

      I barrel because I think we can get 9x to fold and we also have OK equity vs an Ace.

      My main question is what range are you putting the villain on when he raises the turn?

      I think A9, A8, 99, 88, 98 are all in his pre flop calling range but I'd expect him to raise these on the flop the majority of the time. What do you think?

      IPoker, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $50 (100 bb)
      UTG: $43.83 (87.7 bb)
      MP: $49.75 (99.5 bb)
      CO: $138.68 (277.4 bb)
      BTN: $54.19 (108.4 bb)
      Hero (SB): $68.84 (137.7 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with 8 T
      4 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, BB calls $1

      Flop: ($3) 9 8 A (2 players)
      Hero bets $2, BB calls $2

      Turn: ($7) 6 (2 players)
      Hero bets $5, BB raises to $17, Hero calls $12

      River: ($41) T (2 players)
      Hero checks, BB bets $29.50 and is all-in, Hero ???

      $41 pot ($2.05 rake)
      Final Board: 9 8 A 6 T
      8 T
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      Apart from A6 I don't see that many value hands in his range. Maybe T7? It is BvB so T7 can definitely call. I am thinking whether you have enough FE on the turn to just ship it against his raise. You beat pure draws in his rane so unless he has like 96dd you will always be in good shape. Given the board texture, the villain's range and stacks I think shoving turn as a semi-bluff is best actually. As played, I would fold river. I expect him bluffing range to contain some 7x but also expect him to not vbet worse than T8, more likely that he vbets 99.