[NL2-NL10] Random shove on the river

    • Chowchow12
      Chowchow12
      Bronze
      Joined: 04.06.2012 Posts: 338
      Villian is 52/23

      I was really puzzled by this play. I lead out on the flop simply because i had equity. There are so many multi-way pots on this limit. On the river i thought set or striaght everytime. To me the pot would have been to big to play for. I wouldn't put it past this guy to float 3 streets with pocket 6's. Having the 45 seemed kind of werid to be honest. The more I am thinking about it is that it might have been a river bluff, or he had some weird Jx. Anyway curious to your thoughts.

      Prima, $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $0.76 (19 bb)
      SB: $4.02 (100.5 bb)
      BB: $4.06 (101.5 bb)
      Hero (UTG): $7.14 (178.5 bb)
      MP: $10.37 (259.3 bb)
      CO: $4.24 (106 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with A J
      Hero raises to $0.12, MP calls $0.12, CO folds, BTN calls $0.12, SB folds, BB calls $0.08

      Flop: ($0.50) J 2 8 (4 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.24, 2 folds, BB calls $0.24

      Turn: ($0.98) 3 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.72, BB calls $0.72

      River: ($2.42) 6 (2 players)
      BB bets $2.98, Hero ??
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Chow,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: You didn't lead out on the flop, you cbet as the PFR. I think your cbet into 3 people is way too small on a somewhat wet board. Why are you betting 1/2 pot?

      I would bet at least 2/3 on both flop and turn and ship blank rivers.

      On the river we ~35% pot odds and we play against a fish. All draws missed and it's possible that he bluffs or overvalue Jx. Given our small flop bet he can have some 66 in his range as well as 86 or J6. After all he is BB that called after 2 guys so his range is really wide.

      However, without info on him being aggro this is closer to a fold than a call.