[NL2-NL10] AA agains a reg CAP

    • Stedyeddy
      Stedyeddy
      Black
      Joined: 28.02.2011 Posts: 7,502
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($10)
      Hero ($31.49)
      UTG ($30.95)
      CO ($40.50)
      BTN ($11.31)

      Dealt to Hero A:diamond: A:club:

      fold, CO raises to $1, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.50

      FLOP ($2.25) 6:club: 5:club: Q:heart:

      Hero checks, CO bets $0.97, Hero calls $0.97

      TURN ($4.19) 6:club: 5:club: Q:heart: 6:heart:

      Hero checks, CO checks

      RIVER ($4.19) 6:club: 5:club: Q:heart: 6:heart: 9:heart:

      Hero bets $2.50, CO raises to $8.03, Hero folds

      CO wins $8.78

      Oponent
      23/19
      Open from CO 23%
      F3bet CO 100% (4)
      Cbet flop 76
      Cbet turn 70
      WWSD 39
      AF 5/1.8/1.3

      I like my call preflop. The oponent fold too ofen to 3bet pre.
      My plan was to play c/c flop and c/r turn.

      River was strange.
      I dont know what he could have.
      I think that Q9 bet flop and turn, a runer runer fd bet turn, 6x bet turn.
      At last I fold bcause the turn its a blank and he could check B hands like FD or 78, and he have a low AF river and low WWSF. My range is face up of a Qx, and not always fold it.

      What is your opinion?
  • 4 replies
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Hello,

      I think that we should 3bet this hand preflop. The guy folded 4/4 times, but this isn't really a significant sample size, so I would definitely consider 3bet for value here.

      I like your postflop plan here to check/call the flop and check/raise the turn since his turn cbet is quite high.

      On the river it is quite interesting. He has quite a lot AF on the river, but then we probably don't have big enough sample size on him. On the other hand, his W$SD is on the lower side, plus he isn't really representing anything. With his high turn cbet here, I expect him to bet any FD/87/99/6x so he is basically polarized between nuts and pure bluff so in my opinion we should call here.

      Best,
      Plamen
    • Stedyeddy
      Stedyeddy
      Black
      Joined: 28.02.2011 Posts: 7,502
      Good.

      Ty for all your evaluations kymupa.

      Exelents all. Gl
    • alcapone2000
      alcapone2000
      Black
      Joined: 24.07.2006 Posts: 1,734
      sorry for my bad english..
      Originally posted by kymupa
      Hello,

      I think that we should 3bet this hand preflop. The guy folded 4/4 times, but this isn't really a significant sample size, so I would definitely consider 3bet for
      #

      without more Information i push here with 23% OB.

      But what you guys think about C/R flop.
      If we c/r flop we get paid from any Qx,JJ,TT, FD,A6, OESD, and often 77,88,99. On the next Streets he maybe fold this Hands.
      His CB turn is high but i dont think he cbet his trash on the turn. just if we see a K.
    • Stedyeddy
      Stedyeddy
      Black
      Joined: 28.02.2011 Posts: 7,502
      Hi agane.

      Yes. A 3bets ofc its EV+, and play c/r flop could be EV++. But against this oponent I think that i could extract more value in turn, bcause I think that a big part of bluff and semi bluff continue in turn. If u see, he have a CB turn of 70% in a 2k samples size aprox.