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[NL20-NL50] 55 set vs raise river

    • GingerKid
      Joined: 05.08.2007 Posts: 5,588
      iPoker - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      Hero (BB): 100 BB
      UTG: 100 BB (VPIP: 23.23, PFR: 20.87, 3Bet Preflop: 6.19, Hands: 559)
      MP: 101.96 BB (VPIP: 20.45, PFR: 18.10, 3Bet Preflop: 7.03, Hands: 1,147)
      CO: 91.18 BB (VPIP: 41.38, PFR: 29.31, 3Bet Preflop: 4.88, Hands: 118)
      BTN: 124.96 BB (VPIP: 20.65, PFR: 18.71, 3Bet Preflop: 6.15, Hands: 157)
      SB: 210.68 BB (VPIP: 25.15, PFR: 20.86, 3Bet Preflop: 10.94, Hands: 167)

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 5:club: 5:heart:

      UTG raises to 3.5 BB, fold, CO calls 3.5 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 2.5 BB

      Flop: (11 BB, 3 players) 5:spade: 4:diamond: 9:spade:
      Hero checks, UTG checks, CO bets 8.24 BB, Hero calls 8.24 BB, UTG calls 8.24 BB

      Turn: (35.72 BB, 3 players) A:club:
      Hero checks, UTG checks, CO checks

      River: (35.72 BB, 3 players) J:club:
      Hero bets 26.78 BB, UTG raises to 88.26 BB and is all-in, fold, Hero calls 61.48 BB

      Hero mucks 5:club: 5:heart: (Three of a Kind, Fives) (Pre 19%, Flop 91%, Turn 95%)
      UTG shows J:diamond: J:heart: (Three of a Kind, Jacks) (Pre 81%, Flop 9%, Turn 5%)
      UTG wins 206.24 BB

      I guess I should donk turn because Ax calls and fd calls, but if they dont have it they check behind. River fold? I rarely fold sets if there is no flush possible.
  • 2 replies
    • DarkAwi
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 3,289
      Donk or check/raise. If UTG has a tight range and/or cbets a lot, or CO is agressive check/raise could be good. If I'm not sure I just donk (usually I donk if there is a fish in the pot). Check/call oop is the worst you can do, CO is a fish, so if he have some draw, you miss value, if he has TP or small ovp, we should stack it on the flop, before a scarecard comes, and he wouldn't bet again.
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Agree with DarkAwi here. Preferred line is donking. The reg is not cbetting too often with the fish in the hand. And we don't want to let it get checked around. Bet around 80% pot on the Flop and continue firing large for 3 streets.

      Hard to fold river. Maybe he occasionally overplays AJ.