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[NL2-NL10] middle set oop vs pretty agressive regular, 3-way

    • pokerferrer
      Joined: 05.03.2008 Posts: 6,347
      opp: 20/17, 113 hands, 3bet 15.4 (52 samples), call open 8 (52 samples), agg freq: flop 38 (8), turn 60 (5), river 50 (2), fold to cbet 0 of 4.

      We are a bit deeper than 100bb actually.
      Because I'm oop I have to choose between push or fold? What do you think?
      I think the set is almost top of my range, so I actually can't fold it.

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($10.43)
      BB ($10)
      UTG ($10.42)
      Hero ($13.76)
      CO ($24.19)
      BTN ($5.58)

      Dealt to Hero 6:heart: 6:club:

      fold, Hero raises to $0.30, CO calls $0.30, fold, fold, BB calls $0.20

      FLOP ($0.95) 7:club: 6:spade: 5:heart:

      BB checks, Hero bets $0.70, CO calls $0.70, BB folds

      TURN ($2.35) 7:club: 6:spade: 5:heart: 2:club:

      Hero bets $1.50, CO raises to $4.50, Hero raises to $12.76 (AI) ???

      What should I do with aces or kings in a such spot? My range here is pretty strong, he has to know it, and the bluff seems to be silly on the turn. But it's a pretty tough decision with an overpair here.
  • 1 reply
    • w34z3l
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,331
      Hey Pokerferrer,

      I think you have enough equity vs CO's range to shove here. It seems somewhat likely that villain would raise flop with a strong made hand also.

      You beat all 2pairs, combo-draws, slowplayed overpairs, and 55. Even if villain has a straight you still have equity.

      I'd probably fold an overpair though, because you lose to all sets + 2pairs etc. Villains combo draws have equity vs you and you are drawing dead vs a straight.