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[NL2-NL10] AA turn allin call NL5

    • BotiaKiraly
      BotiaKiraly
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.03.2009 Posts: 461
      Poker Stars $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players - View hand 2155340
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      Hero (MP2): $10.43 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 12, 3B: 5, AF: 4.0, Hands: 28995
      CO: $3.31 - VPIP: 35, PFR: 5, 3B: 7, AF: 4.2, Hands: 180
      BTN: $10.16 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 15, 3B: 3, AF: 3.3, Hands: 841
      SB: $4.38 - VPIP: 35, PFR: 2, 3B: 4, AF: 0.9, Hands: 86
      BB: $5.61 - VPIP: 7, PFR: 5, 3B: 4, AF: 3.0, Hands: 75
      UTG: $3.84 - VPIP: 38, PFR: 21, 3B: 7, AF: 6.0, Hands: 53
      UTG+1: $8.21 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 3, 3B: 0, AF: 1.3, Hands: 100
      UTG+2: $5.00 - VPIP: 11, PFR: 8, 3B: 6, AF: 3.7, Hands: 1272
      MP1: $9.81 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 18, 3B: 8, AF: 1.0, Hands: 51

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is MP2 with A :spade: A :diamond:
      UTG raises to $0.15, 3 folds, Hero raises to $0.45, 2 folds, SB calls $0.43, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.10) K :spade: Q :diamond: Q :club: (2 players)
      SB bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50

      Turn: ($2.10) T :diamond: (2 players)
      SB bets $3.43, Hero calls $3.43

      River: ($8.96) 3 :spade: (2 players)



      Hi,

      Here I put him on a range of TT+,AKs,KJs+,QJs,JTs,AKo,KQo, which gives me about 50% equity, so this should be a call. Am I interpreting this correctly?
  • 1 reply
    • w34z3l
      w34z3l
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,332
      Hey BotiaKiraly,

      If you had 50% equity in this spot, it would of course be a call.

      I would tend towards giving villain a much stronger range, perhaps something like AQo+/AJs+/KQ/QQ+. I would also discount the AK combos somewhat because I don't necessarily expect he always overbet-shoves with these.

      You need about 38% equity to make the call here. I don't think you will quite have it, as I expect villains range to be heavily weighted towards value hands. Overbetting is a usually a tell of strength at micros.