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[NL2-NL10] NL16 AKo

    • TheWinnerTakesItAll
      Joined: 28.01.2012 Posts: 1,187
      MP3 stats 21/13 PRF from MP:16 AF:2 AF by streets:1,6/2/3 WTSD:25 W$SD:43 fold to 3bet:60 fold to flop cbet:57 fold to turn cbet:50(2/4) after 322 hands.

      His 3bet is 0,8% and he never made a 4bet, so maybe he can have AA and KK here.

      I got note that he open limps UTG w AA.

      I don't know how he plays in 3bet pots.

      I need 33% equity.

      Board: 5:diamond: 3:diamond: K:heart:  6:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    22.46%   4.81%  17.65% { AcKd }
      UTG+1  77.54%  59.89%  17.65% { KK+, 55, 33, AKs, 8d7d, AKo }

      I added one semi bluf and still I don't have enough equity. Even if we take out KK and AA we don't have equity to call, so I think it's a fold.

      Maybe I should check turn for pot control? Because now I think that I can't get 3 streets of value.

      Hand converted with online hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.08/$0.16 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

      Known players:
      BU (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is BU with A, K.
      3 folds, MP3 raises to $0.40, CO folds, Hero raises to $1.20, 2 folds, MP3 calls $0.80.

      Flop: ($2.64) K, 3, 5 (2 players)
      MP3 checks, Hero bets $1.40, MP3 calls $1.40.

      Turn: ($5.44) 6 (2 players)
      MP3 checks, Hero bets $3.00, MP3 raises to $13.67, Hero ???
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi TheWinner,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Unless we have any reason to believe that MP3 can call hands like KQ preflop and then ck/shove them we should fold the turn versus someone like him.

      So it would be a bet/fold.