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[NL20-NL50] JJ overpair vs. small donk on the river

    • AchillesBG
      Joined: 06.02.2011 Posts: 4,586
      Prima, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $64.44 (128.9 bb)
      BB: $58.04 (116.1 bb)
      Hero (UTG): $108.90 (217.8 bb)
      MP: $72.54 (145.1 bb)
      CO: $8.07 (16.1 bb)
      BTN: $23.66 (47.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with J:heart: J:diamond:
      Hero raises to $1.50, 3 folds, SB calls $1.25, BB folds

      Flop: ($3.50) 8:diamond: 7:spade: 4:heart: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $2, SB calls $2

      Turn: ($7.50) 3:diamond: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $5, SB calls $5

      River: ($17.50) 6:heart: (2 players)
      SB bets $4.25, Hero calls $4.25

      Anon. tables. He was playing smth. like 10/7 over 60 hands.

      I have no idea, why i bet so small on the flop. Smth. like 2,8$ should be ok.

      I think second bet on the turn is ok. I can get called by 55-66,99-TT.

      On the river? His bet is really small, and i think he might do it with 99 or TT, maybe 66. I think he will bet more with 55.
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      Your flop bet is indeed a bit too small, 2.50 would be my sizing.

      As played, I would make a crying call on the river usually. That is a blockbet/thin value bet imo which can mean T9s, 5x, 78s, 76s, 66, which means his value range is quite wide. His only value hands that you beat are 99, TT and A8s probably. Those should be enough to make the call though but expect to lose more often than not ofc, it's just a pot odds call.

      Board: 8:diamond: 7:spade: 4:heart:  3:diamond:  6:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    36.91%  35.72%   1.19% { JdJh }
      MP3    63.09%  61.90%   1.19% { JJ-44, A8s, T9s, 87s, 76s }