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[NL2-NL10] JJ bet till river, then what? NL5

    • BotiaKiraly
      BotiaKiraly
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.03.2009 Posts: 461
      Poker Stars $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players - View hand 2156283
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BTN: $8.55 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 9, 3B: 3, AF: 2.8, Hands: 359
      SB: $5.57 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 10, 3B: 2, AF: 2.0, Hands: 897
      BB: $14.94 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 12, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 26
      UTG: $5.00 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 14, 3B: 8, AF: 2.9, Hands: 539
      Hero (UTG+1): $5.27 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 12, 3B: 5, AF: 4.1, Hands: 31807
      MP1: $5.00 - VPIP: 12, PFR: 9, 3B: 3, AF: 3.2, Hands: 3037
      MP2: $3.69 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 12, 3B: 0, AF: 5.0, Hands: 57
      CO: $3.63 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 3, 3B: 6, AF: 2.5, Hands: 71

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is UTG+1 with J :club: J :heart:
      1 fold, Hero raises to $0.17, 2 folds, CO calls $0.17, BTN calls $0.17, 2 folds

      Flop: ($0.58) 5 :diamond: T :heart: 2 :diamond: (3 players)
      Hero bets $0.40, CO calls $0.40, BTN calls $0.40

      Turn: ($1.78) 2 :club: (3 players)
      Hero bets $1.20, CO calls $1.20, BTN calls $1.20

      River: ($5.38) 6 :club: (3 players)



      Hi,

      Me: JJ 35%

      CO: 55,ATs,KTs,QTs,JTs,ATo,KTo,QTo,JTo 4%

      BU: TT,55,AdTd,KdTd,QdTd,JdTd 60%

      If I got the ranges right this is a check/fold? If we assume that both players will call is it a shove, my bet would be 29% of the final pot? If I put any AT in the BU-s range then I'm the boss with 63%. What do you think?
  • 2 replies
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Hello,

      Until the river is fine.

      Any info for BU? If we don't think thah he's calling down with Tx we can bet like $1.5 and fold to a raise which I like, since we can get value from CO here.

      Best,
      Plamen
    • BotiaKiraly
      BotiaKiraly
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.03.2009 Posts: 461
      If we bet 1,5 the CO might shove or call, and the BU shoves or calls the CO-s shove either way, the pot will be around 10-11$, can we fold 2$ with such a huge pot? Can we be absolutely sure that the BU beats us?