[NL20-NL50] fast NL 25

    • ezeras
      ezeras
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.02.2012 Posts: 181
      Party Poker $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BTN: $48.03 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 8, 3B: 0, AF: 1.1, Hands: 73
      SB: $28.15 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 20, 3B: 5, AF: 2.6, Hands: 471
      Hero (BB): $25.10 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 18, 3B: 7, AF: 3.2, Hands: 125548
      UTG: $14.73 - VPIP: 50, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 4
      MP: $72.86 - VPIP: 32, PFR: 20, 3B: 14, AF: 3.2, Hands: 85
      CO: $46.18 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 22, 3B: 14, AF: 1.5, Hands: 51

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BB with K :diamond: T :diamond:
      1 fold, MP raises to $0.75, 2 folds, SB calls $0.65, Hero calls $0.50

      Flop: ($2.25) 4 :diamond: 2 :spade: 2 :diamond: (3 players)
      SB bets $1.42, Hero calls $1.42, MP calls $1.42

      Turn: ($6.51) 3 :club: (3 players)
      SB bets $3.09, Hero raises to $10.50, MP folds, SB folds

      could it be a bad bluff raise?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      SB is a reg, MP is a fish. Based on this dynamic, I can be sure that
      -SB is never slowplaying preflop, he would always fastplay his overpair monsters
      -He probably bets larger on Flop and Turn with boats or trips because he wants to maximise his value vs the fish.

      I'm putting him on a weaker overpair here, like 99 or TT. I think we can make him fold. so I think it's reasonable to raise here.

      The other question is whether MP will fold or not. He seems kind of fishy. I'm not too sure about that, but since SB is weak and MP could potentially be wide here (having called Flop with some Ace highs), I think raising is reasonable as long as he is not a complete station.

      Thanks.