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[NL20-NL50] nl20Sh AJo river?

    • RasTweet
      Joined: 26.12.2009 Posts: 4,553
      Hey guys!

      vill: 56/31/0,9 after 84 hands

      pre: standard

      flop: Bet is a bit to small maybe.

      turn: I think this is a bad card to barrel. If he has Tx he's going to raise and I have to fold my FD.

      river: I was a bit scared about his potbet. But now I think it's stupid. If he has a set I think he'll raise it otf. So he probably has a flush as well. I think I could raise river for value. The only thing that makes sense that beats me is 88.

      Prima, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (BTN): $24.53 (122.7 bb)
      SB: $29.14 (145.7 bb)
      BB: $20.96 (104.8 bb)
      MP: $19.50 (97.5 bb)
      CO: $8.90 (44.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with J A
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.40, SB folds, BB calls $0.20

      Flop: ($0.90) 4 T 6 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.50, BB calls $0.50

      Turn: ($1.90) T (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($1.90) 8 (2 players)
      BB bets $1.90, Hero calls $1.90

      $5.70 pot ($0.28 rake)
      Final Board: 4 T 6 T 8
      Hero showed J A and won $5.42 ($2.62 net)
      BB showed 3 K and lost (-$2.80 net)


  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Flop: Yes I agree it's too small.

      Turn: Also agree it's a bad card to bluff. I still think a barrel is reasonable though, he can have much more hands than TX here. Like many one high card diamond, or some 9c9d or 8d8h hands here which may fold here. This also sets us up for some potential river bluffing spots.

      River: I don't agree with raising here vs a reg. I like calling. Pot bet is strong like you mentioned, and I don't agree that he raises all his sets on the Flop. I think we are not guaranteed a call from KdX or QdX

      HOWEVER, we know he's a fish. Fishes love overplaying weak flushes. Won't be surprised to see some calls with TX or Kd/Qd/Jd. I think we can raise small here and fold to a 3bet (which is always going to be a full house I think). Would make it 5$ here.