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[NL20-NL50] nl 25 fast foward bluff raise

    • ezeras
      ezeras
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.02.2012 Posts: 181
      Party Poker $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      Hero (BTN): $25.00 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 18, 3B: 7, AF: 3.2, Hands: 125784
      SB: $37.78 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 10, 3B: 3, AF: 0.3, Hands: 206
      BB: $25.00 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 15, 3B: 5, AF: 2.0, Hands: 635
      UTG: $18.94 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 17, 3B: 8, AF: 3.3, Hands: 1103
      MP: $62.33 - VPIP: 78, PFR: 56, 3B: 0, AF: 4.0, Hands: 9
      CO: $25.00 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 15, 3B: 6, AF: 5.8, Hands: 291

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BTN with T :spade: J :spade:
      1 fold, MP raises to $0.75, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.75, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.85) 2 :diamond: Q :heart: 3 :heart: (2 players)
      MP bets $1.32, Hero folds

      Could I raise here as a bluff profitably?
  • 4 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi.

      By default I am folding here. Maybe if the diamond was a spade I would consider bluff raising with backdoors.

      Raising here means that you are going to be raising super often with way too many hands. This requires a read that he cbets Flop too often and folds too much to raises. Do you have such a read?

      Thanks.
    • ezeras
      ezeras
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.02.2012 Posts: 181
      More questions... If his cbet would be 1/2 of pot, would it be a raise bluff then?
      If he calls my bluff raise, which turn cards I could continue to bluff if he checks?
    • pokerferrer
      pokerferrer
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.03.2008 Posts: 6,347
      Vs unknown easy fold. I also think floating here is much better than bluff raising flop.
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Smaller bet sizes usually mean less strength in general. So I would argue that it's a better spot for raising.

      I disagree with floating being better than raising, unless we knew that villain bets Flop a lot but gives up mostly on the Turn with his bluffs.

      Now that I think about it, it's not that bad to raise this hand here. Might be loose, but if we consider villain's own range here, he is playing 70% over a small sample. This means that his range is really wide here and he rarely has something which can withstand a raise.

      As mentioned I don't like raising as a default play here, but I think you can start testing him out by widening your bluff raising range a little more at the beginning and trying to push him off some of his hands on decent textures (non A/K high flops).

      Thanks.