[NL20-NL50] NL20 SH K6s 2nd Flush river pressure

    • NightShadePMC
      NightShadePMC
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.11.2010 Posts: 798
      IPoker, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $34.90 (174.5 bb)
      UTG: $21.24 (106.2 bb)
      MP: $42.82 (214.1 bb)
      Hero (CO): $21.45 (107.2 bb)
      BTN: $20.08 (100.4 bb)
      SB: $20 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with K 6
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.44, BTN calls $0.44, SB folds, BB calls $0.24

      Flop: ($1.42) 4 Q 7 (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.80, BTN folds, BB calls $0.80

      Turn: ($3.02) 2 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.80, BB calls $1.80

      River: ($6.62) 2 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $4, BB raises to $31.86 and is all-in, Hero ?

      BU is fish > this means villain can come along with many speculative hands profitably.
      villain is unknown, reg-ish 16/13, 1,5AF in 152h

      I steal from CO (this is my standard sizing).
      Looking back maybe I should make my sizing bigger on flop and turn for bigger FE.

      OTR is where I'm stuck. I don't know much about him so he doesn't know much about me. I only beat lower FD's like QcJc, QcTc and others.
      Can we call here and hope he overplays a lower flush? Or is this a clear fold without info?
      I am thinking that with a set he would have raised earlier, although he can still have 44/77 sometimes. So mostly I am afraid of AcXc.

      I am getting 33% pot odds OTR. What would you do?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi NightShade,

      Preflop: Since BTN is a fish and we will have a wider range here I don't mind your small raise to iso him although we have to expect that the blinds will tag along (or 3bet) more often.

      Postflop: I agree that flop and turn cbets should be larger, especially with the smaller pot due to our raise.

      As played villain is a nit and despite him being able to have smaller flushes he also has ALL nut flushes in his range. I wouldn't expect a ton of boats but we should count 1-2-3 combos.

      I think that this is a fold.