• 1 reply
    • VorpalF2F
      Super Moderator
      Super Moderator
      Joined: 02.09.2010 Posts: 9,034
      Originally posted by milbos
      what is the probability to lose 6 times in a row if you have equity on turn is over 90% ...?
      Hi milbos !
      Welcome to the forums !

      You won't like this answer :D

      If the probability is > 0 then it will happen at some time or other.
      Isn't it nice to know that you have THAT one out of the way?

      Assuming you lose on the turn with 90% equity.
      The next time you are in the exact situation again, the odds are exactly the same.

      The probability of losing the first is 10%
      The probability of losing the 2nd is 10%
      The odds of losing both are 0.10 x 0.10 or 1%
      Just keep multiplying...

      Oh -- and even though it just happened, there is no guarantee it won't happen again.

      The trick is not *minding* that it happens.

      If you can master that trick, you have mastered poker.
      Well, no, there is a bit more to it than that, but you get the idea...

      All the best,