[NL20-NL50] NL25 - KJo squeeze

    • MoneyStef
      MoneyStef
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.01.2011 Posts: 1,501
      Not sure how to continue after my steal squeeze attempt.

      Flop bet is not as low as it seems here, because pokertracker does not take out the rake from the pot.

      I bet low on the turn because it looks nutsy I think + I might get thin value from draws.

      Villain has low fold to 3bet, but 1/1 fold to Cbet in 3bet pots, also 67% fold to 3bet overall on small sample.


      PartyGaming - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: 288.08 BB (VPIP: 47.30, PFR: 32.43, 3Bet Preflop: 10.71, Hands: 75)
      SB: 60 BB (VPIP: 45.45, PFR: 9.09, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 12)
      Hero (BB): 100 BB
      UTG: 31.24 BB (VPIP: 21.40, PFR: 13.58, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 252)
      MP: 145.2 BB (VPIP: 18.38, PFR: 16.22, 3Bet Preflop: 15.63, Hands: 190)
      CO: 420.12 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 35.71, 3Bet Preflop: 33.33, Hands: 15)

      SB posts SB 0.4 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has J:spade: K:club:

      fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 3 BB, SB calls 2.6 BB, Hero raises to 12 BB, BTN calls 9 BB, fold

      Flop: (27 BB, 2 players) 5:spade: J:club: Q:spade:
      Hero bets 11 BB, BTN calls 11 BB

      Turn: (49 BB, 2 players) 2:spade:
      Hero bets 20 BB, fold

      Hero wins 46.56 BB
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,696
      Hi.

      Betting the Turn here achieves nothing. If you do so, you must shove the River to push villain off some QX hands which I don't think is a good idea when the villain seems to be kind of fishy.

      And since BU is a fish, I think checking the Flop is by far the best play. We are definitely not getting 3 streets of value from this guy, and when we check the Flop, we greatly underrepresent our hand, which will either result in him calling T+R way too light, or he will bluff in an inbalanced manner and we can make good call downs vs him.

      Thanks.
    • MoneyStef
      MoneyStef
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.01.2011 Posts: 1,501
      Thanks for your input.

      Would you check-call all the way down here? E.g. if he bets this flop and this turn?
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,696
      Would cc twice and give up. Dont think fishes are capable of three barrel bluffing. If u had a read that he is an aggro fish then i would just call down.