[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - AQo: st8 draw 3bet pot

    • Lunitis
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,136
      8.7% 3bet (14% against hero)
      6.6% oop vs MP
      80% cbet 3bet pot flop
      52% fold cbet vs raise 3bp (63)
      47% wwsf
      50k hands

      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $27 (54 bb)
      BTN: $56.85 (113.7 bb)
      SB: $19.72 (39.4 bb)
      BB: $50.19 (100.4 bb)
      Hero (MP): $50.61 (101.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with Q A
      Hero raises to $1.50, 3 folds, BB raises to $4.61, Hero calls $3.11

      Flop: ($9.47) J T 9 (2 players)
      BB bets $6.74, Hero ?

      Call or raise?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      On this Flop, let's think about how we should be playing various parts of our range

      JJ-99 (9 combos) - I think we should always raise sets here
      KQs (4 combos) - I think calling is fine, raising could be ok too but I probably call
      88 (6 combos) - Call once and fold
      AJs (4 combos) - Call
      AQ (16 combos) - I think you can raise sometimes and call sometimes

      It's important to know how often he barrels though, and whether he ever bet/folds AA/KK here, and also how often he will cbet AK here and some other air hands.

      If he bets Flop and c/f Turn often, then calling makes more sense. If he bet/folds some AA/KK combos (which I highly doubt at NL50), then I think raising is better.