[NL20-NL50] NL 25 Two pair

    • elchipriota
      elchipriota
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.06.2012 Posts: 438
      Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2158261
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      Hero (BTN): $73.80 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 21, 3B: 9, AF: 2,8, Hands: 132961
      SB: $7.47 - VPIP: 40, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 4,0, Hands: 10
      BB: $52.20 - VPIP: 33, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 2,0, Hands: 3
      UTG: $25.10 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 15, 3B: 0, AF: 7,0, Hands: 61
      MP: $38.58 - VPIP: 0, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 4
      CO: $41.84 - VPIP: 30, PFR: 24, 3B: 5, AF: 2,0, Hands: 161

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BTN with T :diamond: 9 :heart:
      3 folds, Hero raises to $0.50, 1 fold, BB calls $0.25

      Flop: ($1.10) 4 :heart: T :club: 7 :spade: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.70, BB calls $0.70

      Turn: ($2.50) 9 :spade: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $2.00, BB raises to $4.75, Hero calls $2.75

      River: ($12.00) 7 :diamond: (2 players)
      BB bets $5.25, Hero folds


      Im I being very weak on the river or is that a good fold?

      How often can he raise turn and bet river with worse?
  • 3 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Hey,

      I do see him raising with worse, like T7, 79 for sure so I don't think flatting there is bad. The bad thing is he often has better hands like 86, J8, 44, TT, 77, 99 too in his range. I think you played it fine, maybe debatable on the river if you can call or not. What made you inclined to fold?
    • elchipriota
      elchipriota
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.06.2012 Posts: 438
      Thank you Emmanuel. Well the reason I folded is the following:

      If he likes to c/raise for value I expect him to c/r Tp on the flop since a lot of worse cards can come for him on the turn.


      So on the turn (and given Balugas theorem) I am strongly re evaluating my position when I get check raised. I do get a lot of value from overpairs so I proceed with the hand.

      On the river I loose to all overpairs, sets, fullhouse and straights.

      I can only beat T4 which I dont think is calling preflop and his Tx range which I think is mostly c/raising flop.
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Yep, I like it!

      You base thinking on both board texture, actions, ranges so that's very good. I agree that it's close but more towards a fold, esp since bluff frequencies go down on river usually but the most important thing is to have a solid thought process and reasoning behind your action because later you can just adjust when the circumstances change.