[NL2-NL10] Nl10 33

    • TheWinnerTakesItAll
      TheWinnerTakesItAll
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.01.2012 Posts: 1,187
      BU stats 29/21 AF:2 after 24 hands.

      I am very concerned about cbetting on such boards with low pp's, especially oop. My opponents seems to be calling a lot versus my cbets on paired boards. I can barrel overcards on the turn, but what if overcards don't come and I'm vs almost unknown player? So in a lot of cases I'm finding myself just giving up on the turn. Maybe I should just give it up on such boards more, especially vs loose opponents?

      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

      Known players:
      BB:
      $9.50
      UTG2:
      $12.21
      MP1:
      $9.71
      MP2 (Hero):
      $10.75
      MP3:
      $3.41
      CO:
      $10.00
      BU:
      $4.64
      SB:
      $9.60


      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 3, 3.
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, 2 folds, BU calls $0.30, 2 folds, BB folds.

      Flop: ($0.75) J, 9, J (2 players)
      Hero ???
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      I think its close, if this board is not rainbow i would just fold. More inclined to turn 22/33/44into a bluff here and check 88/77 cos these higher pairs have more showdown value bs the lower pairs.

      Would also look at fold to flop cbet %, definitely cbetting here vs someone w a fold to flop cbet of 50%+
      Thanks.
    • sausage646
      sausage646
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.03.2010 Posts: 567
      Originally posted by mbml
      Would also look at fold to flop cbet %, definitely cbetting here vs someone w a fold to flop cbet of 50%+
      Thanks.
      He have 24 hands.
      - how many cases do you consider reliable? "50%+"
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      That's kind of low.

      Not talking about overall sample, but with regards to the stat sample, I think knowing that someone folds 3 out of 6 Flops vs a cbet is kind of sufficient to draw some conclusions. It won't be that accurate but it's probably good enough to help decide on such closer spots.