[NL20-NL50] NL50 77 SBco

    • double2
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $54.90 (109.8 bb)
      BTN: $50 (100 bb)
      Hero (SB): $50 (100 bb)
      BB: $45.93 (91.9 bb)
      UTG: $50 (100 bb)
      MP: $64.64 (129.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with 7 7
      2 folds, CO raises to $1.50, BTN folds, Hero calls $1.25, BB folds

      Flop: ($3.50) 2 3 8 (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $2.25, Hero calls $2.25

      Turn: ($8) 4 (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $5.25,

      BB donk 36/11

      CO 15k hands
      open CO 29%
      fold to 3bet CO 64%
      4bet range CO 4.2%
      cbet flop/turn/river 66/47/63
      WTSD 27%
      WWSF 46%
      Agg freq 42/32/27

      I figure that
      1- Villain if bluffing has good equity 10+ outs
      2- I might get tripled cause I'm really capped and now if I have 55 or 66 I might call again.

      Do I call turn? If board is 2584 do I call turn?
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897

      He opens 29% in CO and has a 4bet range of around 4.2 so that makes me want to 3bet/5bet 77 from SB 100bb deep. You make money when he folds to 3bet, when he folds to 5bet and you get 34-35% equity against his stack off range to make for a +EV play. Calling is doable, BB looks fishy so I can't completely say there's no reason to call.

      Postflop, I think this is a fold on the turn and probably a call with the gutter. The reason is that those 4 outs help you quite a bit imo, you can call rivers quite a bit more often. The bad thing is that you have a close spot in both cases and not very clear decision or opportunity to make money imo. It's easier to 3bet/5bet and it this case it seems more profitable as well because this is one of the good/mediocre scenarios yet we have a tough time doing anything about it.