[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - AQo: flop vs donkey 3bp

    • Lunitis
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,136
      1.2 af
      24 hands (maybe less when played the hand)

      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP: $57.59 (115.2 bb)
      CO: $16.25 (32.5 bb)
      BTN: $82.61 (165.2 bb)
      SB: $21.25 (42.5 bb)
      Hero (BB): $59.36 (118.7 bb)
      UTG: $39.50 (79 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A Q
      UTG raises to $1, 3 folds, SB calls $0.75, Hero raises to $4.50, UTG calls $3.50, SB folds

      Flop: ($10) J T 5 (2 players)
      Hero ?

      I have overs + gut shot, but this board hits well a bet/call range...
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Would start by betting here. Not the best board in the world, but as you said 2 overs + gutshot.

      He is really loose here preflop, so while he is going to have a ton of broadways, I think he will also have many AXs,KXs,suited connectors in his range. If we bet half pot, we just need him to fold 33% of the time. Don't forget we also have some equity in the hand (if he calls it doesn't mean we lose the hand).

      So I think we have a profitable cbet here.