[NL20-NL50] NL20 SH KQo vs cbet

    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Gold
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,059
      Prima, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP: $23.40 (117 bb)
      CO: $32.60 (163 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $34.54 (172.7 bb)
      SB: $20.10 (100.5 bb)
      BB: $6.86 (34.3 bb)
      UTG: $23.04 (115.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with K Q
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.60, Hero calls $0.60, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.50) 8 5 3 (2 players)
      CO bets $0.80, Hero folds

      Results:
      $1.50 pot ($0.07 rake)
      Final Board: 8 5 3
      CO mucked and won $1.43 ($0.83 net)
      Hero mucked K Q and lost (-$0.60 net)





      He is cbeting not too much, especially OOP, but his bet size looks weak and I have overcards. Turn into a bluffraise or not?
  • 4 replies
    • gxtwo
      gxtwo
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.12.2010 Posts: 1,176
      I call this, look at his turn cbet, its pretty low.

      We have position + overs, if he checks turn, he most likely gives up and we can steal the pot.
    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Gold
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,059
      I call this, look at his turn cbet, its pretty low.


      but very low sample. It is chanve that he cbets not often because turn aggression also gets lower. But raise coudl be safer maybe.
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      I think floating is fine here. I know his overall F cbet is lower, but this is a dry rainbow flop so his real cbet % in this exact situation is probably 70-80% IMO.

      And when his Turn cbet is so low, a float becomes extremely profitable. When opponents have high F cbets and low T cbets, I almost always prefer floating cos it is the "safer" option, meaning your opponent will tell you when he has something or when he doesnt and you can risk less money on your bluffs.

      Thanks.
    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Gold
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,059
      I know his overall F cbet is lower, but this is a dry rainbow flop so his real cbet % in this exact situation is probably 70-80% IMO.


      Its dry, but he can be thinking its low board, so many PPs will continue. BUt vs me when he knows that I fold to muhc of course he can cbet 70-80 easily