[NL20-NL50] [sh] nl 50 bluff raise river?

    • DeMarcohsp
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $74.73 (149.5 bb)
      BB: $67.32 (134.6 bb)
      UTG: $53.09 (106.2 bb)
      MP: $52.20 (104.4 bb)
      Hero (CO): $50 (100 bb)
      BTN: $50 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with K Q
      UTG folds, MP raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $4, 3 folds, MP calls $2.50

      Flop: ($8.75) 4 8 J (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $4.50, MP calls $4.50

      Turn: ($17.75) 9 (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $8.75, MP calls $8.75

      River: ($35.25) 7 (2 players)
      MP bets $9.50, Hero folds

      Villain bet/folds river 72%. I would've been very inclined to bluff raise him if the straight would have not completed but now I think he can have JT/9T/8T at least in his range.

      Do you think is good to raise bluff a lot vs this villain on the river?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      I would just fold here. I think he has the straight really often. You did not include hands like AT/QT and maybe even KTs with some backdoor draws. He has way more TX hands than you think, and I think he is going to have them way more often than he has air here.