[NL2-NL10] NL16 AKo

    • TheWinnerTakesItAll
      TheWinnerTakesItAll
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.01.2012 Posts: 1,187
      UTG1 stats 22/16 PFR from EP:11 fold to 3bet:67 4bet:0 AF:3,5 Flop AF:4 WTSD:9 W$SD:33 fold to cbet:50 after 220 hands.

      UTG2 stats 86/19 AF:1,5 WTSD:31 W$SD:33 after 21 hands.

      Pre flop: I don't want to play in multi way pot oop w AKo, so decided to squeeze here and fold if UTG1 4bets.

      Flop: standart cbet. When UTG1 raises, I think he has AA most of the time, he can have 99 as well, because he probably knew that fish will call my squeeze too. The main question is can he play AK this way? I don't think so.

      I think we have to fold here.

      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.08/$0.16 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      UTG1:
      $16.00
      UTG2:
      $8.78
      MP1:
      $17.01
      MP2:
      $16.00
      MP3:
      $24.93
      CO:
      $9.70
      BU:
      $4.83
      SB (Hero):
      $16.32
      BB:
      $16.00


      Preflop: Hero is SB with A, K.
      UTG2 posts deadblind, UTG1 raises to $0.48, UTG2 calls $0.32, 5 folds, Hero raises to $1.98, BB folds, UTG1 calls $1.50, UTG2 calls $1.50.

      Flop: ($6.1) 9, A, 3 (3 players)
      Hero bets $3.68, UTG1 raises to $8.00, UTG2 folds, Hero ???
  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi TheWinner,

      Preflop: looks good. It's not that we don't want to play OOP but we rather 3-bet and isolate the UTG+2 mega fish

      Postflop: The flop is a bet/shove imo. We only really lose to 99 and 33 and villain can have other Ax hands. I also think that sets may just call there to keep the fish in.
    • TheWinnerTakesItAll
      TheWinnerTakesItAll
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.01.2012 Posts: 1,187
      I can't see bet/shove in this situation. We 3bet vs UTG1 open. UTG1 looks like reg, so he should know that my range here will be very strong+ if he is using some poker software he should see that my 3bet is 4% and most of my 3bets are vs LP and SB opens. When we cbet this flop oop in 3bet pot we look very strong and when he quickly raises me I don't see hand that we beat. He can have 99, maybe AK. This spot is very tough for me, I'm very confused ?(
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by TheWinnerTakesItAll
      I can't see bet/shove in this situation. We 3bet vs UTG1 open. UTG1 looks like reg, so he should know that my range here will be very strong+ if he is using some poker software he should see that my 3bet is 4% and most of my 3bets are vs LP and SB opens. When we cbet this flop oop in 3bet pot we look very strong and when he quickly raises me I don't see hand that we beat. He can have 99, maybe AK. This spot is very tough for me, I'm very confused ?(
      If you can't see him raising other Ax hands like AQ then I don't see where the question is. I feel that in spots like this, with fish behind, a lot of his sets (few combos) can also flat to keep fish in. He may even try a cheap bluff as he looks somewhat aggro (or semibluff)

      If your reads on him are that he is tighter and can't raise here without the nuts then simply fold but I doubt that it's 100% true.