[NL20-NL50] [sh] NL 50 overbet bluff missed fd

    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $84.28 (168.6 bb)
      SB: $65.58 (131.2 bb)
      BB: $50 (100 bb)
      UTG: $20.64 (41.3 bb)
      Hero (MP): $50 (100 bb)
      CO: $63.47 (126.9 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with T Q
      UTG folds, Hero raises to $1.50, CO calls $1.50, 3 folds

      Flop: ($3.75) 9 A 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $2, CO calls $2

      Turn: ($7.75) 7 (2 players)
      Hero bets $5.75, CO calls $5.75

      River: ($19.25) 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $26, CO folds





      I expect this kind of straightforward villain to rais at any point with a hand stronger than AQ. I expect his range on the river to be mostly ATs-AQs, AQo and I think I have a very good chance to make him fold 100%. I don't give him credit to realize that I would not be valuebetting this way ever (he would not be playing 19/15 if he could think like that imo)
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