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[NL20-NL50] ATs vs 3 barrels

    • GingerKid
      Joined: 05.08.2007 Posts: 5,588
      iPoker - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BB: 71.5 BB (VPIP: 25.17, PFR: 19.05, 3Bet Preflop: 10.20, Hands: 153)
      UTG: 41.6 BB (VPIP: 14.74, PFR: 10.97, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 159)
      MP: 101 BB (VPIP: 22.42, PFR: 19.59, 3Bet Preflop: 10.43, Hands: 400)
      CO: 127.48 BB (VPIP: 22.85, PFR: 17.65, 3Bet Preflop: 6.47, Hands: 851)
      Hero (BTN): 101.9 BB
      SB: 167.08 BB (VPIP: 25.37, PFR: 21.81, 3Bet Preflop: 8.22, Hands: 837)

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A:diamond: T:diamond:

      fold, fold, CO raises to 3 BB, Hero calls 3 BB, fold, fold

      Flop: (7.5 BB, 2 players) 4:club: T:spade: 5:spade:
      CO bets 5 BB, Hero calls 5 BB

      Turn: (17.5 BB, 2 players) J:spade:
      CO bets 13 BB, Hero calls 13 BB

      River: (43.5 BB, 2 players) 5:heart:
      CO bets 29 BB, Hero calls 29 BB

      CO shows Q:spade: A:heart: (One Pair, Fives) (Pre 69%, Flop 19%, Turn 34%)
      Hero shows A:diamond: T:diamond: (Two Pair, Tens and Fives) (Pre 31%, Flop 81%, Turn 66%)
      Hero wins 96.44 BB

      flop cbet 50%, turn 50%, river 75%.
      I know him as aggro player, able to bluff barrel.

      Was I calling station here? when he bets turn his range is narrowed to flush, and it is a nice scare card to barrel. So when I call turn, I should call also blank river, since I expect reggs to 3 barrel when they barrel turn?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Basically given his stats he usually follows through on the River, and you have TX with the best kicker so I think this call is fine. He's gonna barrel Turn with 89s/KQ/AQ/AK., and maybe he continues barreling the River with those hands with a single spade.

      "When he bets turn his range is narrowed down to flush"

      Disagree here, I don't see why he cannot continue value betting KK/AA/QQ especially those with a spade.

      What you could do is to split up your river range. Ask yourself what you have here on the River. See what odds are being offered to you. Then decide on calling X% of your range on the River here. Of course this is assuming the villain is somewhat balanced. If he is bad and super imbalanced then we just need to see pot odds vs pot equity and decide on whether we beat enough bluffs (or worse value hands) or not.