[NL20-NL50] NL30 J8s 3 streets bluff?

    • Csubakoppanny
      Joined: 14.12.2010 Posts: 4,265
      Pacific, $0.15/$0.30 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

      Hero (CO): $30 (100 bb)
      BTN: $38.95 (129.8 bb)
      SB: $30 (100 bb)
      BB: $10.51 (35 bb)
      UTG: $45.68 (152.3 bb)
      MP: $8.83 (29.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with J 8
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.90, BTN calls $0.90, SB folds, BB calls $0.60

      Flop: ($2.85) 2 5 5 (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.83, BTN calls $1.83, BB folds

      Turn: ($6.51) 3 (2 players)
      Hero bets $4.28, BTN calls $4.28

      River: ($15.07) A (2 players)
      Hero bets $9.80, BTN raises to $31.94 and is all-in, Hero folds

      $34.67 pot ($1.73 rake)
      Final Board: 2 5 5 3 A
      Hero mucked J 8 and lost (-$16.81 net)
      BTN mucked and won $32.94 ($16.13 net)

      What do you think? Is this a good spot for a third barrel? I was happy for my + draw on the turn but then it busted on the river.
      Anyway... I think he has an overpair most of the time and the river is a pretty good bluffing card in this situations... also according his stats, he's able to fold for a third barrel.
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Flop: I think the Flop bet is acceptable with 2 overs + backdoor flush draw. I don't expect Ace high to float you so often in a 3way pot and besides as the PFR we can rep the most 5X hands here (maybe K5s, A5s, 56s, 57s, 45s)

      Turn: Standard 2nd barrel, that's why we bet the Flop right?

      River: I think it's fine to barrel the River. In a headsup situation I would usually give up on this river cos AX is usually in villain's c/c range on the Turn. But given the 3way dynamic I think villain usually folds AX at some point in time so this makes the River card better for our range compared to his (since we would often barrel our over+gutshot here on the Turn).

    • Csubakoppanny
      Joined: 14.12.2010 Posts: 4,265
      Thank you!:)