[NL20-NL50] ATo spewy

    • GingerKid
      Joined: 05.08.2007 Posts: 5,587
      iPoker - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BB: 137.84 BB (VPIP: 55.17, PFR: 6.90, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 29)
      UTG: 141.66 BB (VPIP: 22.27, PFR: 20.02, 3Bet Preflop: 6.31, Hands: 857)
      MP: 49.96 BB (VPIP: 42.14, PFR: 26.58, 3Bet Preflop: 15.52, Hands: 162)
      CO: 107.7 BB (VPIP: 23.02, PFR: 19.96, 3Bet Preflop: 8.32, Hands: 2,205)
      Hero (BTN): 137.72 BB
      SB: 205.08 BB (VPIP: 32.35, PFR: 29.41, 3Bet Preflop: 17.39, Hands: 243)

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T:heart: A:club:

      fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 2 BB, SB raises to 7 BB, fold, Hero calls 5 BB

      Flop: (15 BB, 2 players) 3:heart: 6:diamond: 9:diamond:
      SB bets 8 BB, Hero calls 8 BB

      Turn: (31 BB, 2 players) 6:club:
      SB checks, Hero bets 16 BB, SB raises to 38 BB, Hero raises to 122.72 BB and is all-in, fold

      Hero shows T:heart: A:club: (One Pair, Sixes)
      Hero wins 101.66 BB

      He 3bets 33% vs BU, and from sb 33%. flop cbet 67% turn 67%. I saw him 3betting KQo, ATo, QTs.

      The reason for calling flop is not only floating but also I have often better hand.
      Probably I should just check turn and check river, or call river on low card?
      I would probably do it with AQ+, but ATo was too low kicker for that, so I wanted to take down the pot.
      I saw his raise as bluff, because I bet 1/2 pot and dont represent anything, so I shove. I do it only because his range is 33%, and I saw him already 2 times before raising turn and then checking behind with air. So with my shove i need around >60% FE to be +EV, do you think that I have it?
      And also I think it is not too bad if he calls it with better hand and if it is -EV move, because he sees that I am able to bluff this way, and it is future EV since I also often call IP 3bet with JJ+
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Flop: This is pretty marginal but if his range is really 33% I think you have showdown value with AT here so I would call to showdown the hand.

      Turn: Pairing cards are great for us, I don't see any reason to turn our hand into a bluff. I don't know how often the average player checkraises here as a bluff but I think this is really spewy

      And if you had the read that he loves raising the Turn then I would showdown this hand first of all, and secondly I would use a delayed River bluffing strategy a lot of the time. Check the Turn and bluff the River (with our non-SD value hands). Of course this strategy is worse if villain starts to use some bet check bet bluffs but if we think he has enough air we could potentially call Flop call River.