[NL20-NL50] 55 vs sqeeze

    • GingerKid
      Joined: 05.08.2007 Posts: 5,506
      iPoker - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BB: 149 BB (VPIP: 25.05, PFR: 20.29, 3Bet Preflop: 8.60, Hands: 501)
      UTG: 51.06 BB (VPIP: 54.55, PFR: 27.27, 3Bet Preflop: 13.33, Hands: 34)
      CO: 138.2 BB (VPIP: 62.50, PFR: 37.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 8)
      Hero (BTN): 100.78 BB
      SB: 89.72 BB (VPIP: 15.00, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 20)

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 5:spade: 5:club:

      UTG raises to 2 BB, fold, Hero calls 2 BB, fold, BB raises to 10 BB, fold, Hero calls 8 BB

      Flop: (22.5 BB, 2 players) 3:heart: J:club: J:heart:
      BB bets 14 BB, Hero calls 14 BB

      Turn: (50.5 BB, 2 players) K:heart:
      BB checks, Hero checks

      River: (50.5 BB, 2 players) 5:heart:
      BB checks, Hero bets 37.86 BB, BB raises to 125 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 38.92 BB

      BB shows 7:diamond: A:club: (One Pair, Jacks) (Pre 44%, Flop 28%, Turn 20%)
      Hero shows 5:spade: 5:club: (Full House, Fives full of Jacks) (Pre 56%, Flop 72%, Turn 80%)
      BB wins 0 BB
      Hero wins 198.06 BB

      I call 2bet because he cbets 25%, if not he gives up (exaclty when he hits he cbets).
      I call sqeeze mostly for set value, and he gives up on low card boards.

      In this hand I see why it is important to call only 99+ because opponent might 3bet or sqeeze with A8, A7 and then has more chance versus 55. But anyway I expect him to sqeeze mostly with broadways, KJ+, AJ+, and I can float once on low cards or board like this and give up.
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694

      Preflop: Fold preflop - I explained this to you already, playability is just very poor. Reason why 88 > 55 here is because people do 3bet hands like A6s or Q8s which have significant pair value vs 55 (2 overs).

      Flop: I would just fold here on the Flop. You should not bluff catch on one broadway flops vs aggro villains. They will just barrel any Turned broadway so often (JXXT or JXXA/JXXK/JXXQ) with their gutshots or top pairs and that happens on like 1/3 of the deck.

    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Also if you have a reasonable sample size in your database, maybe you might want to filter your profit for calling 3bets with low pocket pairs. You should basically be losing less money here (compared to folding and losing your initial investment of 2-3bb). If that's not the case then you should fold this preflop.