[NL20-NL50] [sh] nl 50 KK vs river donk on flush completingPoker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Pla

    • DeMarcohsp
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (UTG): $50 (100 bb)
      MP: $137.12 (274.2 bb)
      CO: $13.72 (27.4 bb)
      BTN: $50 (100 bb)
      SB: $62.51 (125 bb)
      BB: $51.59 (103.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with K K
      Hero raises to $1.50, MP folds, CO calls $1.50, BTN calls $1.50, SB calls $1.25, BB folds

      Flop: ($6.50) 4 6 J (4 players)
      SB bets $4, Hero calls $4, 2 folds

      Turn: ($14.50) A (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $6.50, SB calls $6.50

      River: ($27.50) A (2 players)
      SB bets $8.50, Hero calls $8.50

      I need 19% equity but I don't think I have that. Don't think he is ever doing this with Jx as he would just check and try to get to showdown, especially now that the flush has completed
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      River is nasty for sure. We have Kc which helps, and Ace pairs too which reduces likelihood of him having an Ace himself.

      This spot basically boils down to whether he's spazzy or random enough to bet here with a worse made hand than yours and turn TT or JX into a bluff. So the entire decision stems from whether he is aggro or not. My guess is that he could potentially turn a hand like 57 or 89 into a bluff here and we do have Kc blocker and the pot odds are really good here so I think we have to call.