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[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - A7o: barreling

    • Lunitis
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,136
      MP: 67/26
      62% fold vs cbet
      106 hands

      BU: 25/21
      24% fold vs cbet flop
      53% wwsf
      5 af
      27% wtsd
      1.2k hands

      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $50 (100 bb)
      SB: $103.03 (206.1 bb)
      BB: $145.54 (291.1 bb)
      UTG: $38.83 (77.7 bb)
      MP: $18.33 (36.7 bb)
      Hero (CO): $53.35 (106.7 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with 7 A
      UTG folds, MP calls $0.50, Hero raises to $2, BTN calls $2, 2 folds, MP calls $1.50

      Flop: ($6.75) 3 4 5 (3 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $4, BTN calls $4, MP folds

      Turn: ($14.75) 3 (2 players)
      Hero bets $9.50, BTN calls $9.50

      River: ($33.75) 3 (2 players)
      Hero ?

      In the flop i thought that my hand was ok to barrel down because i have equity and because when he calls there his range gets very capped in overpairs and draws that i think i can make fold at least on the river.
      The the river aint good. Do you think that i can make him fold pairs? Maybe there is a decent amount of As also..
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Flop: We have one nut out to the straight flush, gutshot outs to the straight, and a weak flush draw. I think betting here 3way is acceptable, but it may be bad vs this BU.

      Turn: What's this BU's fold to Turn cbet? Seems like he hates folding so if we bet here on the Flop we must bet many Turns and Rivers.

      River: This is a really nice runout. I'm not sure how often BU slowplays preflop (is he good enough to realize that he should slowplay preflop to let the fish in?) What's his 3bet % here? If it's high, I think he is less likely to slowplay preflop. If that's the case, his range is capped here to some extent, we can have JJ-AA and he can't so we can 3barrel. Ok maybe he could have 44/55/As3s still but I think it's reasonable to bluff the River, but this spot requires more stats on his Turn and River tendencies.
    • Lunitis
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,136
      I just have 4 spots vs cbet turn (50% fold).
      8.4% 3bet
      11.5% 3b bu
      15% 3b vs hero

      What you want from river? I dont we can see much river stats with this amount of sample.
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Ok I'll just jam the river then