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[NL20-NL50] NL 25 JT on Sb

    • elchipriota
      Joined: 06.06.2012 Posts: 438
      I put him mostly on Kx there, I expect him to raise with sets and two pair on the turn.

      Should I flat river or try get value like I did?

      Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2161768
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BTN: $14.58 - VPIP: 50, PFR: 17, 3B: 50, AF: 1,0, Hands: 6
      Hero (SB): $48.21 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 21, 3B: 8, AF: 2,8, Hands: 141212
      BB: $19.78 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 6, 3B: 6, AF: 2,8, Hands: 78
      UTG: $33.90 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 18, 3B: 4, AF: 2,5, Hands: 135
      MP: $25.35 - VPIP: 29, PFR: 25, 3B: 20, AF: 2,0, Hands: 28
      CO: $2.62 - VPIP: 47, PFR: 29, 3B: 27, AF: 1,6, Hands: 38

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is SB with J :spade: T :club:
      4 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($1.50) 2 :spade: K :heart: T :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.80, BB calls $0.80

      Turn: ($3.10) 3 :club: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BB bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50

      River: ($6.10) J :heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BB bets $3.00, Hero raises to $9.60, BB raises to $16.73, Hero calls $7.13
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Flop: I think the best play is to check here. Firstly, our 2nd pair has a weaker kicker. It's not like AT or QT, where we dominate more TX hands so I think your value is a lot thinner here (or maybe you are value cutting yourself).

      secondly, vs a weaker player, checking is almost always better as they will tend to make larger mistakes vs a flop check and completely misread or misplay their hand.

      Turn: I think c/c Turn is fine after betting flop. if you don't c/c here vs this half pot bet you shouldn't even bet the flop in the first place. we beat a couple of straight draw floats.

      River: The river is definitely an overplay here. Do you really think he has that many worse one pair hands which would make a thin value bet? Don't forget he's on the passive side. I would not be surprised if he checked back hands like K9 K8 KJ here.

      My preferred line is to donk the River to 4.50$. If you get raised it would be pretty tough though.