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[NL2-NL10] 89s implied odds? NL10

    • BotiaKiraly
      Joined: 18.03.2009 Posts: 461
      BTN: $14.87 - VPIP: 31, PFR: 18, 3B: 9, AF: 5.5, Hands: 88

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is CO with 9 :spade: 8 :spade:
      3 folds, Hero raises to $0.35, BTN calls $0.35, 2 folds

      Flop: ($0.85) T :heart: 2 :spade: A :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.50, BTN raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1

      Turn: ($3.85) 3 :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $2.50, Hero calls $2.50

      River: ($8.85) 8 :heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN checks


      Here I put him on sets or AQ+, maybe AT. given his AF and the aggression he is showing do you think I have the implied to call? He has to put in about 3.5-4 on the river
  • 1 reply
    • w34z3l
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,332
      Hey BotiaKiraly,

      Your stack size is obviously crucial to this. I'm assuming you have BTN covered but it may not be the case.

      On the river you need to make another $5 or so assuming you have 9 clean outs which you probably don't. Villain has this amount in his stack, so physically it's possible. There are two problems however

      1) Outs may be tainted. Ts, 3s (or any spade) may not be a clean out.

      2) Villain may get away from his AT/set on flush river. Especially in position.

      Also given that you probably only have 7 outs instead of 9 I don't think you are going to get that extra money often enough to have implied odds on a turn call.