[NL2-NL10] Nl16 KK vs BU

    • TheWinnerTakesItAll
      TheWinnerTakesItAll
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.01.2012 Posts: 1,187
      BU stats 24/17 AF:3 River AF:7 WTSD:27 W$SD:50 fold to flop cbet:25 after 106 hands.

      History: ~10 hands before I x/c river, when flush draw completes, with tp after betting on the flop and on the turn and he had air.

      Which line is best here?

      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.08/$0.16 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

      Known players:
      MP1 (Hero):
      $35.12
      MP2:
      $19.99
      MP3:
      $20.89
      CO:
      $16.00
      BU:
      $14.08
      SB:
      $16.24
      BB:
      $5.45
      UTG2:
      $17.89


      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with K, K.
      UTG2 folds, Hero raises to $0.48, 3 folds, BU calls $0.48, 2 folds, BB folds.

      Flop: ($1.2) 3, 5, Q (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.75, BU calls $0.75.

      Turn: ($2.7) T (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.60, BU calls $1.60.

      River: ($5.9) 8 (2 players)
      Hero ???
  • 1 reply
    • w34z3l
      w34z3l
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,297
      Hey TheWinnerTakesItAll,

      Preflop is fine.

      Flop value bet is good.

      On the turn I'd probably bet larger on this texture and play bet/fold.

      Standard line for the river is to bet about $2.40 and fold to raise. Given the notes you have the best option is probably to check/call and hope villain bluffs again. Usually better to assume that villain is not going to use the hand 10 hands ago to influence his decision at these stakes - if he bluffed in this spot before, assume he will bluff again. EV of check/calling should go up.